Los Angeles Rams are in pole position:
Matthew Stafford and company win the Super Bowl in a league-best 18.1% of PFF simulations.
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2025 NFL Playoff, Super Bowl probabilities
TeamStrength of schedule remainingProjected win totalChance to make playoffs (%)Chance to win Super Bowl (%)Los Angeles Rams1913.210018.1Denver Broncos414.010016.4Buffalo Bills3012.499.89.9Seattle Seahawks812.899.69.8Houston Texans2311.294.78.8Green Bay Packers1011.390.47.4Los Angeles Chargers211.493.54.2Jacksonville Jaguars2411.797.34.0Philadelphia Eagles2010.899.23.6San Francisco 49ers611.697.53.6New England Patriots2612.799.93.5Baltimore Ravens58.644.13.2Chicago Bears111.377.02.7Detroit Lions149.835.61.9Pittsburgh Steelers168.955.91.4Tampa Bay Buccaneers288.775.20.8Indianapolis Colts39.214.80.4Carolina Panthers118.024.80.2Dallas Cowboys258.10.80.0Minnesota Vikings97.40.00.0Cincinnati Bengals295.80.00.0Miami Dolphins228.00.10.0Atlanta Falcons216.30.00.0Kansas City Chiefs317.50.00.0Arizona Cardinals174.00.00.0Washington Commanders75.00.00.0New York Giants273.30.00.0Cleveland Browns133.80.00.0New Orleans Saints325.50.00.0Las Vegas Raiders123.10.00.0New York Jets153.70.00.0Tennessee Titans182.90.00.0
Los Angeles Rams: 18% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs
- The Los Angeles Rams have a 100.0% chance to make the playoffs.
- The Rams are projected to go to the Super Bowl 34% of the time.
- They have an 18.1% chance to win the Super Bowl.
Denver Broncos: 16% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs
- The Denver Broncos are projected to win 14.0 games.
- The Broncos have a 100.0% chance to make the playoffs.
- They have a 91.2% chance to win their division.
Buffalo Bills: 10% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs
- The Buffalo Bills have a 9.9% chance to win the Super Bowl.
- The Bills have a 99.8% chance to make the playoffs.
- They are projected to go to the Super Bowl 18% of the time.
Seattle Seahawks: 10% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs
- The Seattle Seahawks are projected to win 12.8 games.
- The Seahawks are projected to go to the Super Bowl 20% of the time.
- They are the third-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
Houston Texans: 9% to win Super Bowl & 95% to make playoffs
- The Houston Texans are projected to go to the Super Bowl 16% of the time.
- The Texans have an 8.8% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
- They are the fifth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
Green Bay Packers: 7% to win Super Bowl & 90% to make playoffs
- The Green Bay Packers are the second-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
- The Packers are projected to go to the Super Bowl 14% of the time.
- They have a 7.4% chance to win the Super Bowl.
Los Angeles Chargers: 4% to win Super Bowl & 93% to make playoffs
- The Los Angeles Chargers have the second-hardest remaining schedule (SOS value: 2).
- The Chargers have a 4.2% chance to win the Super Bowl.
- They are projected to win 11.4 games.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 4% to win Super Bowl & 97% to make playoffs
- The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to win 11.7 games.
- The Jaguars have a 97.3% chance to make the playoffs.
- They have a 49.0% chance to win their division.
Philadelphia Eagles: 4% to win Super Bowl & 99% to make playoffs
- The Philadelphia Eagles have a 99.2% chance to win their division.
- The Eagles have a 99.2% chance to make the playoffs.
- They have played the seventh-hardest schedule to date (SOS value: 7).
San Francisco 49ers: 4% to win Super Bowl & 97% to make playoffs
- The San Francisco 49ers have the sixth-hardest remaining schedule (SOS value: 6).
- The 49ers are projected to win 11.6 games.
- They have a 97.5% chance to make the playoffs.
New England Patriots: 4% to win Super Bowl & 100% to make playoffs
- The New England Patriots have a 99.9% chance to make the playoffs.
- The Patriots are projected to win 12.7 games.
- They have a 60.7% chance to win their division.
Baltimore Ravens: 3% to win Super Bowl & 44% to make playoffs
- The Baltimore Ravens have the fifth-hardest remaining schedule (SOS value: 5).
- The Ravens are the eighth-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
- They have a 44.1% chance to win their division.
Chicago Bears: 3% to win Super Bowl & 77% to make playoffs
- The Chicago Bears have the hardest remaining schedule (SOS value: 1).
- The Bears are projected to win 11.3 games.
- They have a 42.8% chance to win their division.
Detroit Lions: 2% to win Super Bowl & 36% to make playoffs
- The Detroit Lions have played the second-hardest schedule to date (SOS value: 2).
- The Lions are the seventh-ranked team in the PFF Power Rankings.
- They are projected to win 9.8 games.
Pittsburgh Steelers: 1% to win Super Bowl & 56% to make playoffs
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 55.9% chance to win their division.
- The Steelers have a 55.9% chance to make the playoffs.
- They are projected to win 8.9 games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1% to win Super Bowl & 75% to make playoffs
- They are projected to win 8.7 games.
- TheTampa Bay Buccaneers have a 75.2% chance to win their division.
- The Buccaneers have a 75.2% chance of making the playoffs.
