Here are our top SGP picks for the divisional round, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.
Part of the reason the Houston Texans have allowed the sixth-most deep passes in the NFL is their heavy reliance on single-high coverages, as they rank fourth in single-high usage over the past few months.
Demario Douglas has been especially dangerous against single-high coverage, pairing one of the best separation rates in the NFL with an elite mark in yards per route run.
With Mack Hollins sidelined, Douglas operated firmly as New England’s WR3, logging 21 receiving snaps compared to nine for Kyle Williams and just four for EftonChism III. That opens the door to a correlated long-shot angle built around Drake Maye connecting on deep shots.
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- QB Drake Maye, New England Patriots: 280+ passing yards & under 29.5 attempts
- WR Demario Douglas, New England Patriots: 60+ receiving yards
And, as discussed in our