- The end of the road for the Lions and Ravens: Detroit and Baltimore suffered likely season-ending losses in Week 16.
- Get PFF+ for 30% off: Use promo code HOLIDAY30 to unlock the PFF Player Prop Tool, Premium Stats, fantasy dashboards, the PFF Mock Draft Simulator, industry-leading fantasy rankings and much more — everything you need to win your season.
Estimated Reading Time:27 minutes
The power rankings below provide clear tiers on each NFL team's market assessment, offering a comprehensive view of team standings and future prospects. All of the information below and more can be found in PFF’s power rankings tool, which is available with a PFF+ subscription.
It’s important to note that these rankings consider more than just win-loss records and playoff seeding. Factors like player and team-level grades, offensive and defensive efficiency, prior performance from past seasons, and strength of schedule all play a role. This is why teams with worse records and slimmer playoff hopes may rank higher than those with better records who have managed wins against weaker opponents or delivered inconsistent performances from key players.
Click here to jump to a team:
ARZ | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN | CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND | JAX | KC | LV | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN | NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF | SEA | TB | TEN | WAS
1. Los Angeles Rams (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 100%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 15%
The Rams joined some illustrious, but unfortunate, company after their Week 16 game of the year candidate loss to the Seahawks. Los Angeles became the first team ever to generate 500 yards of offense, not commit a turnover, force three turnovers and still lose. There were some hijinks with the fourth-quarter two-point conversion — which was initially ruled dead before being awarded — and that’ll sting. Still, the Rams uncharacteristically gave up a 16-point lead before succumbing to the Seahawks in overtime.
That loss now gives the Seahawks the edge in the NFC West, with the Rams’ chances of winning the division falling to 20%. The likelihood is the Rams finish with 13 wins and are on the road in the playoffs — that doesn’t feel right.
2. BuffaloBills (Up 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 100%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 11%
The Bills were dragged into the mud by an excellent Browns’ defense, but ground out a win thanks to an excellent rushing performance from James Cook (82.5 grade; 6th). Cook carried the ball 16 times for 117 yards and two touchdowns, ripping off three runs of 10 yards or more while Josh Allen (88.7 grade; 3rd) and the passing game struggled.
Allen was pressured on 43.5% of his dropbacks, but credit still needs to be given for grinding out a win against a tough defense on the road. But, the Bills haven’t been all that convincing recently.
3. Green Bay Packers (Down 1)
Chance of making playoffs: 96%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 6%
There aren’t many teams in professional sports who have had a worse two-week stretch than the Packers, losing Micah Parsons (92.0 grade; 2nd) to a torn ACL before Jordan Love (88.5 grade; 5th) suffered a concussion in their 22-16 loss to the Bears in Week 16. The Packers are now 9-5-1 and were sweating before a Lions loss to the Steelers essentially sealed their postseason spot.
Losing Love for a game and resting him for the playoffs might not be the worst decision. The Green Bay offense ticked along nicely with backup Malik Willis, who earned a 65.4 overall PFF grade.
4. Seattle Seahawks (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 100%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 10%
At times, the Seahawks were ugly and ineffective on offense in Week 16. But they turned it on in the fourth quarter, recovering from a 16-point deficit to beat the Rams in overtime and take control of the NFC West.
The Seahawks are now 12-3 and have a 45% of winning the division ahead of their final two games of the season — road showdowns against the Panthers and the 49ers. A win against the Panthers in Week 17 and a loss by both the Rams and 49ers would seal the Seahawks' first division title since 2020.
5. HoustonTexans (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 97%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 8%
Heading into Week 16, the Texans had won six consecutive games and were expected to walk over the Las Vegas Raiders at home. They were one of the hottest teams in the NFL. Instead, the Texans played down to their opponent and snuck away with a 23-21 win, moving to 10-5 on the season.
In terms of a win streak, Houston remains hot, but the offense’s struggles hark back to a time of midseason discomfort for the Texans. The difference this time is that they ground out a win. Houston now owns the longest active winning streak in the NFL at six games.
6. Denver Broncos (No change)
Chance of making playoffs: 100%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 12%
The Broncos’ excellent 11-game win streak came to a crashing halt in Week 16 with a 34-20 loss to the Jaguars. The offense churned up over 440 yards of offense, but the defense — which ranks seventh in EPA per play — was pushed around by Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars’ passing game in ways we haven’t seen much of in 2025.
This was the Broncos getting punched in the mouth, and the loss opens the door for the Chargers to make a late run for the AFC West title. Everything could come down to the Week 18 matchup in Denver.
Explore PFF Power Rankings Tool
Strength of schedule, playoff chances and win projections for the 2025 season.
Open Power Rankings7. San Francisco 49ers (Up 2)
Chance of making playoffs: 100%
Chance of winning Super Bowl: 7%
The 49ers are kicking into gear on offense at just the right time. Over the last two weeks, they’re second in EPA per play and fourth in success rate, while Brock Purdy (87.4 grade; 6th) has thrown for 590 yards, eight touchdowns and an interception, earning a 96.3 overall PFF grade.
Purdy is looking sharper and more like himself under center as the weeks progress, and the 49ers are now 11-4 and the fifth seed in the NFC after the 48-27 win against the Colts in Week 16. There’ll be concerns about the defense and how that unit fares against better offenses, but the 49ers will be a tough test for anyone in the postseason.