Same-game parlays (SGPs) let you combine multiple bets from a single game into one ticket, increasing the potential payout if your game script hits. Our SGP picks are built around target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">PFF Player Prop Tool, available exclusively for PFF+ members. It highlights the props with the highest probability of success, surfaces matchup insights that NFL teams themselves track and syncs with sportsbooks in real time, so you always know where the best number is.
Here are our top SGP picks for Week 17, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.
Trevor Lawrence finds Parker Washington deep downfield
Building on our matchup angle, it is worth examining who is most likely to benefit from Trevor Lawrence’s targets against a man-heavy Colts defense.
Parker Washington leads the Jaguars with a near 30% target rate against man coverage, and he has made the most of those opportunities.
Washington has been one of the NFL’s most effective wide receivers versus man coverage, backed by strong underlying grades and a robust 2.8 yards per route run against man. With a healthy 13-yard average depth of target, he should also see opportunities downfield as Jacksonville has adopted a more aggressive approach.
If Washington converts on those deep targets, it sets up a path for Lawrence to clear his yardage while staying under his attempt total and operating efficiently through the air.
SGP Build: 95-1 on DraftKings
- QB Trevor Lawrence: 290+ passing yards & under 33.5 attempts
- Jacksonville Jaguars: -9.5
- WR Parker Washington: 100+ receiving yards
Geno Smith finds Tre Tucker for a deep touchdown in a Raiders win
This is a spot where the Raiders should be fully invested, as Geno Smith has little incentive to ease off, with his potential replacement looming.
The Giants defense has been abysmal all season and has been especially vulnerable in recent weeks, allowing the third-most yards per attempt over the past month while also surrendering the third-highest explosive pass rate.
Much of that stems from a coverage approach that funnels offenses toward the deep passing game, as New York has allowed the third-highest deep attempt rate in the NFL.
That plays directly into Tre Tucker’s strengths. Tucker owns one of the deeper average depths of target on the Raiders and ranks fourth in separation on deep targets. The lack of production has largely been tied to protection issues, as the offensive line has struggled to give Smith time to throw. That could change here for two reasons: a Giants run defense that has struggled to stop anyone, creating more favorable passing situations, and the expected return of left tackle Kolton Miller, which should help neutralize Brian Burns, New York’s top edge threat.
If Smith has time to throw, Tucker should see opportunities downfield, and all it takes is one converted deep shot for the Raiders to exceed expectations and cash their props in this matchup.
SGP Build: 85-1 on DraftKings
- QB Geno Smith: 280+ passing yards
- WR Tre Tucker: 100+ receiving yards & anytime TD
- Las Vegas Raiders: Moneyline
Miami Dolphins lean on QB Quinn Ewers
As has become common during the Todd Bowles era, the Buccaneers are one of the NFL’s biggest pass funnels, far easier to throw against than to run against. Tampa Bay owns a 14% gap between pass and run success rate, nearly three percentage points larger than the next-closest team. As a result, opponents have thrown against the Buccaneers more than any other defense once game state and situation are accounted for.
Not only does Tampa Bay funnel offenses toward the pass, but the results have been shaky, particularly of late. Over the past six weeks, the Buccaneers rank bottom five in yards per attempt allowed as the defense has struggled to hold up.
While the sample size on Quinn Ewers remains limited, he has been efficient from a yardage standpoint, averaging 9.3 yards per attempt and excelling on in-system throws with a strong 0.8 EPA, along with similar results on plays without disruption. In that small sample, Ewers has also handled the blitz well, posting a 0.24 EPA per play. He now faces a Tampa Bay defense that has struggled to generate disruption in recent weeks while blitzing at a top-five rate.
While one game is far from definitive, it does provide support for attacking Ewers on the upside in this matchup.
SGP Build: 37-1 on DraftKings
- QB Quinn Ewers: 280+ passing yards & 32+ attempts
- Miami Dolphins: Moneyline