NFL Week 5: Anytime touchdown bets

Jahmyr Gibbs‘ goal-line dominance: The Detroit Lions running back has handled 80% of the team's carries inside the 5-yard line and scored five rushing touchdowns through four games.

• Ashton Jeanty‘s touchdown opportunity: The Las Vegas Raiders running back has handled all six of the team's carries inside the 5-yard line but has yet to score a rushing touchdown.

• Garrett Wilson's man-coverage advantage: The New York Jets wide receiver has earned targets on 34.5% of his routes against man coverage, averaging 4.17 yards per route run.

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RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit Lions

Gibbs remains as reliable as ever, and he gets an Arizona run defense that has struggled to keep running backs out of the end zone. The Cardinals allowed 18 rushing touchdowns last season and have surrendered three more through four games in 2026.

Gibbs has handled 80% of the Lions’ carries inside the 5-yard line this season, converting four into touchdowns. He has five rushing touchdowns through four weeks, tied for second in the NFL, along with two receiving scores. He has also been targeted on 26.0% of his 100 routes, ranking ninth among 65 qualifying running backs. So, he has multiple ways to deliver in this matchup.

With Detroit a 5.5-point favorite in a game with a 54.5-point total, tied for the highest on the slate, there’s little reason to overthink Gibbs in this spot. He’s well-positioned to find the end zone again.

0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%20.0%Target Share0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%Carry Share · Advanced MetricsAVGAVGWalker IIITutenRobinsonGibbsWilliamsRobinsonHubbardHenryMonangaiBrownIrvingJohnsonWarrenPollardLoveMarksBarkleyAllenMitchellWilliamsMontgomeryTaylorWhiteStevensonAchaneGordon IIMcCaffreyCookEtienne Jr.JudkinsWilsonHallBlackCroskey-MerrittJeantyHeywardHamptonBigsbySandersAllgeierGainwellHarveyCorumHendersonPerineJonesSwiftSkatteboSpearsHillShipleyPriceDobbinsBrooksLloydHolaniThe same players and metrics are available as a sortable table on each team's Leaders tab.Source: Premium Stats ProKenneth Walker IIIRB · KCTarget Share14.3%10th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics81.1%2nd / 56Bhayshul TutenRB · JAXTarget Share7.2%29th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics55.0%20th / 56Bijan RobinsonRB · ATLTarget Share18.4%2nd / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics63.4%16th / 56Jahmyr GibbsRB · DETTarget Share17.8%4th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics86.0%1st / 56Kyren WilliamsRB · LATarget Share16.3%6th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics54.5%22nd / 56Brian RobinsonRB · ATLTarget Share3.4%51st / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics32.1%40th / 56Chuba HubbardRB · CARTarget Share7.9%26th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics67.8%8th / 56Derrick HenryRB · BLTTarget Share7.1%32nd / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics77.4%4th / 56Kyle MonangaiRB · CHITarget Share4.2%48th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics40.8%33rd / 56Chase BrownRB · CINTarget Share14.7%7th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics74.4%6th / 56Bucky IrvingRB · TBTarget Share12.0%13th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics67.5%9th / 56Emmett JohnsonRB · KCTarget Share4.5%46th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics15.1%52nd / 56Jaylen WarrenRB · PITTarget Share13.6%12th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics66.3%14th / 56Tony PollardRB · TENTarget Share9.4%20th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics67.5%9th / 56Jeremiyah LoveRB · ARZTarget Share8.7%24th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics55.0%20th / 56Woody MarksRB · HSTTarget Share5.3%39th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics33.7%38th / 56Saquon BarkleyRB · PHITarget Share7.0%34th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics38.9%34th / 56Braelon AllenRB · NYJTarget Share6.5%36th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics36.3%35th / 56Keaton MitchellRB · LACTarget Share9.3%21st / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics26.5%44th / 56Javonte WilliamsRB · DALTarget Share10.0%18th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics77.1%5th / 56David MontgomeryRB · HSTTarget Share5.3%39th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics56.6%19th / 56Jonathan TaylorRB · INDTarget Share11.0%15th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics79.6%3rd / 56Rachaad WhiteRB · WASTarget Share7.2%29th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics26.2%45th / 56Rhamondre StevensonRB · NETarget Share13.8%11th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics41.5%31st / 56De'Von AchaneRB · MIATarget Share11.3%14th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics51.5%25th / 56Ollie Gordon IIRB · MIATarget Share5.2%41st / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics34.9%37th / 56Christian McCaffreyRB · SFTarget Share19.6%1st / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics48.1%27th / 56James CookRB · BUFTarget Share9.1%23rd / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics69.3%7th / 56Travis Etienne Jr.RB · NOTarget Share7.4%28th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics41.3%32nd / 56Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLVTarget Share14.4%8th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics67.0%11th / 56Emanuel WilsonRB · SEATarget Share4.5%46th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics48.2%26th / 56Breece HallRB · NYJTarget Share9.3%21st / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics66.2%15th / 56Kaelon BlackRB · SFTarget Share1.9%54th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics29.8%43rd / 56Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WASTarget Share5.6%38th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics53.8%23rd / 56Ashton JeantyRB · LVTarget Share18.0%3rd / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics67.0%11th / 56Connor HeywardRB · LVTarget Share0.8%56th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics3.5%56th / 56Omarion HamptonRB · LACTarget Share3.7%50th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics60.2%17th / 56Tank BigsbyRB · PHITarget Share4.0%49th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics31.1%42nd / 56Raheim SandersRB · CLVTarget Share9.9%19th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics6.8%55th / 56Tyler AllgeierRB · ARZTarget Share7.2%29th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics32.0%41st / 56Kenneth GainwellRB · TBTarget Share10.6%16th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics14.9%53rd / 56RJ HarveyRB · DENTarget Share17.8%4th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics20.3%47th / 56Blake CorumRB · LATarget Share4.6%45th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics33.3%39th / 56TreVeyon HendersonRB · NETarget Share1.8%55th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics46.9%28th / 56Samaje PerineRB · CINTarget Share4.7%44th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics16.7%50th / 56Aaron JonesRB · MINTarget Share14.4%8th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics66.7%13th / 56D'Andre SwiftRB · CHITarget Share10.2%17th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics46.9%28th / 56Cam SkatteboRB · NYGTarget Share8.3%25th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics59.1%18th / 56Tyjae SpearsRB · TENTarget Share6.6%35th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics18.8%49th / 56Justice HillRB · BLTTarget Share5.1%42nd / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics12.2%54th / 56Will ShipleyRB · PHITarget Share5.0%43rd / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics16.7%50th / 56Jadarian PriceRB · SEATarget Share6.3%37th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics35.9%36th / 56J.K. DobbinsRB · DENTarget Share2.5%53rd / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics53.5%24th / 56Chris BrooksRB · GBTarget Share2.8%52nd / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics21.1%46th / 56MarShawn LloydRB · GBTarget Share7.6%27th / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics42.3%30th / 56George HolaniRB · SEATarget Share7.1%32nd / 56Carry Share · Advanced Metrics20.0%48th / 56

RB Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders

New England has already allowed four rushing touchdowns through four games and ranks 30th in rushing EPA allowed this season.

Jeanty has handled all six of the Raiders’ carries inside the 5-yard line this season but has yet to convert one into a touchdown. He has still found the end zone twice as a receiver and has been targeted on 25.5% of his 94 routes, ranking 12th among 65 qualifying running backs.

The goal-line role already belongs to Jeanty, but the rushing touchdowns haven't followed. That creates an opportunity to capitalize on his usage before the production catches up. With the ability to score both on the ground and through the air, Jeanty has an excellent opportunity to find the end zone in this matchup.

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WR Garrett Wilson, New York Jets

Cleveland has played man coverage and single coverage at the highest rates in the NFL so far this season. Wilson has averaged 2.27 yards per route run across 119 routes, ranking 28th among 138 qualifying wide receivers. Against man coverage, though, his target rate jumps to 34.5%, while his 4.17 yards per route run ranks second.

With several Jets playmakers still dealing with injuries, including AD Mitchell and Breece Hall, fewer players are competing for opportunities, particularly near the goal line. Wilson should maintain his massive target share in this matchup.

Always a threat to score from anywhere on the field, Wilson is well-positioned to find the end zone against Cleveland.

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