Same-game parlays (SGPs) let you combine multiple bets from a single game into one ticket, increasing the potential payout if your game script hits. Our SGP picks are built around target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">PFF Player Prop Tool, available exclusively for PFF+ members. It highlights the props with the highest probability of success, surfaces matchup insights that NFL teams themselves track and syncs with sportsbooks in real time, so you always know where the best number is.
Here are our top SGP picks for the wild-card round, each tied to a clear story the data suggests could play out.
The Los Angeles Rams are set to dominate the Carolina Panthers
In the first matchup between the Panthers and Rams, Carolina came out with a grind-it-out approach, aiming to milk the clock and rely on turnovers to condense the game and increase variance.
That is a fragile strategy, however, and one that the Rams can counter by playing fast, as they rank inside the top five offenses in pace of play.
If Los Angeles dictates tempo and plays from ahead, this sets up a game environment where yardage can accumulate on both sides. A quick Rams lead would force the Panthers into catch-up mode, creating additional volume and efficiency opportunities as the game opens up.
One intriguing way to extract value from this game state is through Rams running back Blake Corum, who has handled nearly half of the Rams’ carries over the past month and has been one of the NFL’s most explosive backs over that span.
Los Angeles ranks top-three in yards generated before contact, while Carolina’s run defense sits in the bottom three in that yards allowed before contact, giving Corum multiple paths to hit alternate rushing-yardage outcomes — whether the Rams are building a lead or bleeding the clock.
On the other side, this Rams defense ranks sixth in success rate allowed against the run but has been closer to league average against the pass. Over the past six weeks, Los Angeles ranks 15th in yards per dropback allowed and fifth-worst in perfect coverage rate.
If Carolina is forced into catch-up mode and Panthers quarterback Bryce Young exceeds his typical passing volume in a negative game script, this is a spot where he can accumulate late-game yardage against an average pass defense.
SGP Build: 60-1 on DraftKings
- Los Angeles Rams: -10.5
- RB Blake Corum, Los Angeles Rams: 70+ rushing yards
- QB Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers: 280+ passing yards
QB Jordan Love on for an efficient day targeting WR Jayden Reed
As discussed in our matchups article, this Packers offense — weather permitting — is in a strong position against a Bears defense prone to coverage breakdowns. With Green Bay healthy at wide receiver, it now faces a Chicago unit that owns the third-worst perfect coverage rate in the NFL.
That points to a spot where Jordan Love should operate efficiently, and that efficiency is likely to funnel into one or two pass-catchers connecting on explosive plays.
While the sample size is small, Reed has been excellent from an underlying perspective, consistently creating separation and remaining dangerous after the catch despite returning from injury.
Against the Bears’ zone and two-high looks, Reed has earned the highest target share on the Packers, making him the preferred option and, at his price point, the most likely receiver to break out for Green Bay.
SGP Build: 110-1 on DraftKings
- QB Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers: 290+ passing yards & under 30.5 pass attempts
- WR Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers: 90+ receiving yards
Drake Maye annihilates the Los Angeles Chargers defense
Amid competing data points and confounding variables, it is often valuable to return to base rates.
Yes, the schedule was favorable, but that does not detract from the underlying results. Maye was dominant this season, averaging nearly 7.5 yards per dropback while backing it up with some of the strongest underlying data and a consistently elite PFF grade.
Concerns about schedule strength also fail to resolve the problem of induction — namely, how he would have performed against tougher defenses. Based on the available evidence, however it is sliced, the conclusion remains the same: Maye dominated.
If we take a directional look at his micro-level performance against top defenses, he has been among the NFL’s best in disruptive situations.
That is supported by an excellent Create Rate, something Maye has shown consistently over the first two years of his career. His underlying traits also suggest he can thrive in tougher situations, even though he has not been fully stress-tested to date.
All of those points indicate a setup in which Maye should be efficient, with a realistic path to elevated volume driven by game flow. The Chargers rank 32nd in offensive line play by nearly every metric, while this underrated Patriots front ranks sixth in both quick-pressure rate and disruption pressure rate over the final months of the season.
New England’s man-heavy coverage is likely to generate frequent positive plays while still allowing occasional explosive gains, keeping the game competitive if the Patriots offense hits its ceiling. That combination creates a script in which sacks stall drives, flip possession, and allow the Patriots to control volume by running a large number of offensive plays.
SGP Build: 15-1 on DraftKings
- QB Drake Maye, New England Patriots: 300+ passing yards & 32+ pass attempts
- New England Patriots: -3.5