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Patriots vs. Broncos AFC Championship Game Preview: Kickoff time, TV schedule, betting Insights

Patriots vs. Broncos AFC Championship Game Preview: Kickoff time, TV schedule, betting Insights
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The New England Patriots head to Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, Jan. 25, for a high-stakes AFC showdown with the Denver Broncos, with kickoff set for 3:00 p.m. EST on CBS.
Bo Nix suffered a season-ending ankle injury in the divisional round. Denver will now turn to backup Jarrett Stidham, whose limited starting résumé and 53.3 PFF grade across 234 career dropbacks make this a defining moment in his career.

On the other side stands Drake Maye, who has quietly emerged as one of the AFC’s most efficient quarterbacks, having led New England to a 14–3 record and an AFC East title while earning a 90.1 PFF grade.

Below, we break down the spread, moneyline and total using PFF's market data, compare the two starting quarterbacks through stable efficiency metrics and highlight the team-level advantages that could swing this game.

This preview also dives into notable injuries, trench mismatches and unit-level grades that matter most on Sunday, with all data powered by PFF Premium Stats and betting projections.

Click here to see PFF's>PatriotsBroncosPower Rank: Overall5th13thPower Rank: Defense3rd4thPower Rank: Offense4th10thSOS Played32nd8thAvg Offensive Snaps65.468.6% Run Plays40.6%36.4%% Pass Plays59.4%63.6%EPA Per Run-0.14-0.10EPA Per Pass0.240.07

QB Comparison

PatriotsBroncosQuarterbackD. MayeJ. StidhamPFF Grade87.460.0Passer Rating Clean118.9—Passer Rating Under Pressure93.0—Big-Time Throw %4.08%—Turnover-Worthy Play %2.96%—Power Rating5.50.0Power Rating Rank5th29th

Key Injuries: Patriots

PlayerPosInjuryStatusGradePos WAR RankC. Davis IIICBHeadQ71.326thM. HollinsWRTorsoIR67.573rdT. JenningsHBHeadIR-R65.290thA. GibsonHBLegIR55.1123rdJ. FarmerDILegIR49.0151stC. ReynoldsHBOtherOUT48.3129th

Key Injuries: Broncos

PlayerPosInjuryStatusGradePos WAR RankB. NixQBLegOUT77.110thJ. DobbinsHBLegIR-R76.849thL. WattenbergCArmIR70.99thB. JonesSTorsoIR64.242ndP. BryantWRHeadQ63.370thA. ForsythCLegQ62.532ndT. FranklinWRLegQ62.3103rd

Betting insights: Spread

SpreadPatriotsBroncosMarket-5.5 (-110)+5.5 (-110)PFF Projection-3.8+3.8Implied Cover Probability46.5%53.5%

Betting insights: Moneyline

MoneylinePatriotsBroncosMarket-252+206PFF Projection-179+180Implied Win Probability64.1%35.8%

Betting insights: Total

TotalUnderOverMarket41.5 (-110)41.5 (-110)PFF Projection41.941.9Implied Cover Probability49.8%50.2%

Fuente original: Leer en Football - America
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